by Aptus PM Team | Aug 15, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
Headline CPI rose 0.20% in July, in line with economists’ expectations. The YoY rate was unchanged at 2.7%. After two warmer months, food prices inched up just 0.05%. Energy prices were also cooler in July, declining -1.1% on a -2.0% drop in motor fuel CPI and lower...
by Aptus PM Team | Jul 31, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
The Fed left rates unchanged for its 5th straight meeting — keeping the fed funds range 4.25%-4.5% which was widely expected. Governors Miki Bowman and Chris Waller dissented in favor of a 0.25% cut. It was the first double-dissent by governors since 1993. ...
by Aptus PM Team | Jul 18, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
Core CPI came in softer than expected for the 5th straight month: 0.2%, month over month (MoM) and 2.9% year over year (YoY). The YoY number did tick up slightly given the low comp rolling off from last year (monthly numbers shown on graphic below). ...
by Aptus PM Team | Jun 20, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
As expected, the Fed opted to hold interest rates steady for the fourth consecutive meeting in a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) shows an expectation for higher inflation and slower growth, resulting in no change to the median...
by Aptus PM Team | May 30, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
While there is certainly a lot going on in rates markets, it’s been interesting to see participants give more attention to the fiscal backdrop of the US government. It comes as no surprise that the weighted average cost of our government debt has increased...
by Aptus PM Team | May 21, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
Last Friday, Moody’s rating agency lowered the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 (their version of AA+). Technically, this doesn’t change the US’s overall credit rating because it was already split-rated AA+. This follows downgrades by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in...