by John Luke Tyner | Sep 13, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Headline CPI rose 0.6% in August from the prior month, a faster pace than in July as gasoline prices jumped. Core CPI rose 0.3% (stripping food and energy costs), a hotter pace than the prior two months. Headline CPI: +0.6% (Consensus Expectations: +0.6%) Core CPI:...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 31, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Jackson Hole Fed Chair Powell’s message last week at Jackson Hole was direct. The Fed won’t be taking victory laps over inflation just yet. Powell noted “we are navigating by the stars under cloudy skies … we will keep at it until the job is done.” Reminds us...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 15, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Global central bankers will gather later this month in Jackson Hole, WY for their annual meeting. We anticipate markets will seek to understand Powell’s desire to push back on market pricing that the Fed will cut its key rate to around 4% by January 2025 from its...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 11, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The July CPI came out to be another soft report and points to further moderation in inflation. Headline CPI increased by 0.2% MoM (0.167% unrounded), which resulted in the YoY rate increasing two-tenths to 3.2% as base effects were less favorable than last month. For...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 2, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
We’ve all seen the news that Fitch downgraded the US Government’s credit rating from AAA to AA+. Fitch’s move follows a similar cut by S&P about 12 years ago. Source: Bloomberg as of 08.01.2023 Moody’s continues to rate the US AAA (wonder where the...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 1, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Rise in Interest Income is Helping Buoy the Consumer The increase in interest rates over the last 15-18 months has made it is more expensive to borrow money but on the flip side, they have higher yielding options to put cash to work. Source: WSJ as of...
