by David Wagner | Jan 23, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
Unfortunately, we are about to talk politics – let’s rip the band aid off and dive in. The U.S. just hit its debt limit. Taking a Trip Down Memory Lane Essentially, the political environment in D.C. in ’11 is much like today – Dem. President / Dem....
by David Wagner | Jan 18, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
Stocks have rallied to start 2023 and the biggest reason for the early gains is that investors are interpreting further declines in inflation, slowing economic growth, and less-hawkish Fed rhetoric as increasing the chances for an economic “soft landing.” For...
by Joseph Sykora | Dec 27, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has the ability to set interest rates through the Fed Funds rate – the overnight lending rate among US banks. Banks are required to retain a certain amount in deposits as capital to help guarantee their solvency. Bank deposits...
by Joseph Sykora | Nov 30, 2022 | Blog, Energy, Macro Updates
In the last two weeks, we’ve received several inquiries regarding energy equity outperformance relative to declining oil prices. Many people reference some version of the following chart: Source: Strategas, 11/29/22 For a commodity-driven sector, the...
by David Wagner | Oct 25, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
In some ways, the midterm elections have been demoted in importance as investors have been concentrating on Federal Reserve policy. It has been well-documented how markets have fared during previous midterm election years. However, the macro backdrop is quite...
by David Wagner | Oct 17, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
When someone says, “It’s football season”, Kentuckians, in their own dialect, instantaneously translate that to “Keeneland is about to open”. Even more exciting this year, the racetrack will be getting an extra weekend of fun with the ’22 Breeders Cup being raced the...