by JD Gardner | May 3, 2023 | Market Updates
I’m starting with this chart because it matters: Source: TS Lombard as of March 2023 What you are looking at is the rolling 10-year correlation between stocks and bonds. Correlation is a measure of the relationship or connection between two things. In...
by John Luke Tyner | Apr 27, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Curves are Inverted, Term Premiums LOW The market continues to price in a return to the 2010 norms of subdued inflation pressure, with term premia below zero across the curve. Source: TS Lombard. As of 04.12.2023 While slower nominal growth could put a...
by John Luke Tyner | Apr 13, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Core CPI was in line with a softer shelter print (shelter/OER came in at 0.45%), but the headline was a little soft as energy declined, food was flat. The big question is how will the Fed view this number? Source: Macro84. As of 4/12/23. Core still at...
by John Luke Tyner | Apr 3, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
A Look Back on TIPS Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are a type of government bond issued by the US Treasury Department. Unlike conventional bonds, TIPS are designed to protect investors from inflation. This is done by adjusting the bond’s...
by David Wagner | Apr 3, 2023 | Blog, Market Updates
March ‘23 Market Recap; The S&P 500 ignored the fallout from banking woes and recorded a surprising +3.7% gain last month, leaving the index in positive territory for Q1 ‘23 (+7.5%). After a mid-month hike, the current Fed Funds rate (upper bound) is at 5% vs....