May CPI Forcing the Fed’s Hand

Peak Inflation… Think Again!   Source: Bianco Research. As of 6/10/22   CPI rose 1.0% MoM and 8.6% YoY (a new high) in May. The core CPI again surged 0.6% MoM and 6.0% YoY. Inflation looks to be broadening…   The Bones of the Report   May’s report...

The Market in Pictures, May 27

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why: 1) JL: hard to believe Fed Funds rate is still only 1% given the CPI backdrop, real yields are quite negative   Source: Bianco Research as of 5/25/2022...

Did the Fed Ease Policy?

May 5th, 2022 – Bond Market Week Over Week Update   *  Fed Hikes 50bps and Starts QT, albeit more Slowly than Expected. The Fed hiked rates 50 bps (instead of 75) and basically ruled out 75 bps increases going forward. In our opinion, the Fed eased policy...

A Generational Inflation Print, Until Next Month…

The U.S. CPI surged +0.8% m/m and 7.9% y/y in February. Core CPI, which is a measure that takes out food and energy, rose +0.5% m/m and 6.4% y/y in Feb. Given the recent geopolitical event since this February figure, specifically regarding the upward commodity...