by John Luke Tyner | Mar 1, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
While bonds got off to a fast start this year, February’s returns were almost the mirror image from a total return standpoint. As the chart shows, Bloomberg’s Global Aggregate Index returned -3.32% last month. With data going back to March 1990, this ranks as the...
by David Wagner | Mar 1, 2023 | Blog, Market Updates
February ‘23 Market Recap: The January rally suddenly looks distant as equities closed lower for the month, finishing down 5.0% from their early February peak. This has been a confluence of technicals, bond yield increases due to uncomfortably strong economic data in...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 16, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The blue line below is what the Fed is communicating per their DOT plot, on the terminal rate going to a range of 5.00% to 5.25%. The orange line is yesterday’s Fed Funds curve (following CPI). The market expectations for the Fed Funds rate is finally rising to the...
by Aptus PM Team | Feb 10, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: Fed Funds expectations are still bouncing around on Fed talk / speculation Source:...
by Aptus PM Team | Feb 3, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: One could make the case that wage growth is receding from its highs Data as of...