Rearview to Windshield, October 2023

September ’23 Market Recap: As the weakest seasonal period for equities historically, September is doing what September does. The S&P 500 was down -4.8%. This was a stressful quarter for investors with few places to hide amidst the market pullback that weighed on...

The Market in Pictures, September 29

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: The story of the past year has been real rates exploding from negative territory into positive...

The Complexities of Inflation

We thought the current backdrop provided an opportunity to dive into the basics of inflation. The below analysis will attempt to isolate different types of inflation, and distill our input on where we stand on each in the current cycle. This is a bit “economic” at its...

The Market in Pictures, September 15

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: September is famous for being the weakest month for stocks, with the 2nd half being the most...

Rate Hikes Working, No Cuts Ahead

Headline CPI rose 0.6% in August from the prior month, a faster pace than in July as gasoline prices jumped. Core CPI rose 0.3% (stripping food and energy costs), a hotter pace than the prior two months.  Headline CPI: +0.6% (Consensus Expectations: +0.6%) Core CPI:...