March 2023 CPI Update

Core CPI was in line with a softer shelter print (shelter/OER came in at 0.45%), but the headline was a little soft as energy declined, food was flat. The big question is how will the Fed view this number?   Source: Macro84. As of 4/12/23.   Core still at...
Q1 2023 Recap and Chart Book

Q1 2023 Recap and Chart Book

(Click above for the full update) This is our biggie each quarter, pages of charts and the context to go with them. As always, we think the windshield view is far more relevant than the rearview. But it’s through the rearview that we get a sense of the path...

TIPS Update, March 2023

A Look Back on TIPS   Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are a type of government bond issued by the US Treasury Department. Unlike conventional bonds, TIPS are designed to protect investors from inflation. This is done by adjusting the bond’s...

February 2023 CPI Update

Consumer prices rose in February by the most in 5 months, although the move was roughly in line with expectations. Headline CPI number moved lower to 6.0% YoY as the February 0.4% print replaced last year’s 0.7% print.   Source: Bianco. As of 3/14/23.   Next...

Bank Bailout

2 Years a Movin’   To give some perspective on the move in Fed Funds rate the last couple days, we have just witnessed one of the fastest/ largest slides since 1987.   Source: Bloomberg. As of 3/13/23.   The chart above shows Fed Funds curve last...