A Process to Match the Game

A Process to Match the Game

Stroke Play or Match Play   For any non-golfers out there, match play is hole-by-hole scoring. Meaning, you play to win each hole individually. Your score from the prior hole is irrelevant to the next. In stroke play, it’s the cumulative total. Each hole...
A Process to Match the Game

Decision Inputs

Decisions are easier to make if conviction of outcome is high, and/or the tradeoff profile is attractive enough. Even if (you think) you know the outcome of an event, if the tradeoff profile is poor then what? Let’s use a real-time example: Given that it’s the NCAA...

The Market in Pictures, March 24

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The market sure seems to think the Fed is done hiking   Source: Bianco as of 03.22.2023...

The Current Opportunity Set in Bonds

Municipal Spreads are Lacking Luster   Spreads on short municipal paper (10yrs and in) are well inside their historic averages.    Source: UBS. As of March 17th, 2023.   Municipal Supply Remains Tight   The expected muni supply coming to market is...

The Market in Pictures, March 17

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Derek: Hopefully the first and last time we need to share SIVB charts, but in hindsight it stood out...