The Market in Pictures, March 1

by | Mar 1, 2024 | Blog, Charts

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: On the way to 16 of 18 weeks up for the S&P 500, it seems   Source: Daily Chartbook...

Competing Forces in the Bond Market

by | Feb 29, 2024 | Blog, Bonds

Productivity is the Way Out Productivity plays a crucial role in influencing both inflation and economic growth. A key to stopping a second wave of inflation is likely productivity (output per hour) picking up. Instead of having too much money chasing too few goods we...

The Market in Pictures, February 23

by | Feb 23, 2024 | Blog, Charts

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Rate expectations have changed dramatically in a few short weeks   Data as of 02.23.2024...

The Market in Pictures, February 16

by | Feb 16, 2024 | Blog, Charts

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: The typical pattern for earnings estimates is to start high and fade throughout the year  ...

CPI: Shelter Costs Remain Uncomfortably High

by | Feb 14, 2024 | Blog, Bonds

Consumer prices came in hotter than expected to start the year. This delivers another painful blow to market expectations for quick and aggressive Fed rate cuts. January CPI MoM Headline: +0.3% (Exp: +0.2%) Core: +0.4% (Exp: +0.3%) YoY Headline: +3.1% (Exp: +2.9%)...