Did the Fed Ease Policy?

May 5th, 2022 – Bond Market Week Over Week Update   *  Fed Hikes 50bps and Starts QT, albeit more Slowly than Expected. The Fed hiked rates 50 bps (instead of 75) and basically ruled out 75 bps increases going forward. In our opinion, the Fed eased policy...
Rebalance Rationale, May 2022

Rebalance Rationale, May 2022

Welp, the call on bonds being a significant drag on portfolios continues to play out.  At the end of the quarter, even in a S&P down market, the Barclays Aggregate has underperformed the S&P 500. So much for those safe and sound, set it and forget it bond...

Mortgage Bond (MBS) Update

Decomposing Bond Yields Let’s first think about the components of a bond’s yield. At the simplest level, Treasury yields are simply the average expected Fed funds rate over the maturity plus a term premium. A good portion of the recent move in rates has been a direct...

Muni Update

This bond bear market has taken down Munis hard. Yields on Munis (measured by MUB) are around 2.45%, which is ~3.5% tax-free on a 4.25yr duration. Higher Yield Muni funds are around 4% yields (5.7% TEY).     Market Recap Year to date, 10yr AAA Munis have...