The Fed Getting Squeezed

*  Fed Expected to Hike 50bps at Next Two Meetings. As you can see below, the odds on both are at 100%. Given the persistence of inflation, the Fed has been put into defensive mode (i.e., forcefully tightening policy) even into a growth slowdown. Source: Bianco...

The Second Leg to Drop

First, I really wanted to touch base after yesterday’s price decline across indices – it was the worst day since June 2020. I know that I have been saying for quite some time that the market will continue to remain volatile until it perceives that we have seen some...

Equities in a Tightening Regime

We continue to understand that emotions are heightened in this current market – the volatility is real. Thus, we know that a lot of y’all are focusing on how to help your clients Think Well and we love that. But, being a wildcard, I’m going to take this musing in a...

Rearview to Windshield, May 2022

Developments Over the Last Month   April showers doused bullish sentiment last week as the SPX wrapped up April with an 8.8% decline. This was the worst April return for the index since 1970 and the fourth lowest April return on record. Fear over this week’s FOMC...