by Aptus PM Team | Jun 23, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Dave: Right on cue, investors are finally turning bullish…after stocks stage a significant rally ...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 21, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Source: Strategas as of 06.20.2023 Many of the underlying sources of inflation have cooled over the past year. Supply chains have improved, interest rate sensitive sectors are seeing slower growth, but is it enough to get to the fed’s 2% target? The...
by Aptus PM Team | Jun 16, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: Most of the yield curve has separated itself from the Fed Funds rate, with seemingly no rush...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 15, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The “Hawkish” Pause Yesterday the Fed left their target for the funds rate unchanged between 5% to 5.25%. Many labeled the pause a hawkish “skip” where further tightening is expected. The Fed DOT plot signaled that there could be two more rate hikes in 2023. QT...
by David Wagner | Jun 15, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
In case you missed it – JL put something out on CPI on Tuesday. If you want any commentary on the Fed/FOMC, just reach out and we can discuss today’s hawkish “skip”, which is basically just insurance on continued inflation. AI Investment Talk I’ve been...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 14, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Year-over-year CPI declined in May, roughly in line with estimates: Headline MoM: +0.1% (Expected: +0.1%) Core MoM: +0.4% (Expected +0.4%) Headline YoY: +4.0% (Expected: 4.0%) Core YoY: +5.3% (Expecting 5.2%) Top/Bottom Contributors: Source:...
