February 2023 CPI Update

Consumer prices rose in February by the most in 5 months, although the move was roughly in line with expectations. Headline CPI number moved lower to 6.0% YoY as the February 0.4% print replaced last year’s 0.7% print.   Source: Bianco. As of 3/14/23.   Next...

Bank Bailout

2 Years a Movin’   To give some perspective on the move in Fed Funds rate the last couple days, we have just witnessed one of the fastest/ largest slides since 1987.   Source: Bloomberg. As of 3/13/23.   The chart above shows Fed Funds curve last...

The Market in Pictures, March 10

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Beckham: The high-beta rally to start the year was really weird   Source: Piper as of 03.06.23...

Aptus Musings: Banking on Deposits

I hope that y’all have not had PTSD 2.0 of the GFC over the last few days. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRE) is having its worst week since … October 2008. We had to break out the textbooks on my last musing (ERP), so I’ll do my best to keep this as simple as...

Aptus Musings: Equity Risk Premium (ERP)

I’ve fielded a few questions regarding Mike Wilson’s (of Morgan Stanley) recent market commentary. Outside of corporate profitability, i.e., margins driving down future earnings, one of his biggest takes is on the current valuation of the S&P 500. As of 3/7/23,...

Meet the Team : Clay Calhoun

You might have seen our Team Page with our full team lineup, showing us in the office setting, with the usual bios about backgrounds and roles. We wanted to show you who we are outside of the office and share a little about the personalities that make up our team. We...