by Aptus PM Team | Aug 26, 2022 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fill the puzzle of evidence: Dave: Where will Fed Funds and CPI intersect? JL: and will the 10 year bond again give us clues to...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 24, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
The Fed’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium takes place on Friday and will open with a speech by Chair Powell at 10am EST. We expect Powell to reiterate that the FOMC remains committed to bringing inflation down and that upcoming policy decisions will...
by Aptus PM Team | Aug 19, 2022 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fill the puzzle of evidence: Derek: We’ve had quite a bounce in equities since mid-June, how does it compare to previous bear market rallies...
by David Wagner | Aug 18, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
For the first time in a while, we have something to discuss coming out of Washington D.C. On Tuesday, President Biden signed into law the Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”), which should be termed the Build Back Smaller Act, as the package is a slimmed down version of...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 17, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
CPI Softer but Higher Unit Labor Costs (ULCs) Remain Problematic A sustained slowdown in inflation (the Fed’s clear goal) will require a sustained slowdown in economic activity — creating slack and driving down Unit Labor Cost growth. A key economic...
by Aptus PM Team | Aug 12, 2022 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why: Joseph: All of the 2020 job losses have now been recovered. Where that stacks up vs. other recessions Source: Calculated Risk as of 08.05.2022...