The Market in Pictures, August 26

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fill the puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Where will Fed Funds and CPI intersect?     JL: and will the 10 year bond again give us clues to...

What to Expect From Jackson Hole

The Fed’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium takes place on Friday and will open with a speech by Chair Powell at 10am EST. We expect Powell to reiterate that the FOMC remains committed to bringing inflation down and that upcoming policy decisions will...

The Market in Pictures, August 19

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fill the puzzle of evidence:   Derek: We’ve had quite a bounce in equities since mid-June, how does it compare to previous bear market rallies...

The Fed May Not Be Your Friend For Awhile

CPI Softer but Higher Unit Labor Costs (ULCs) Remain Problematic   A sustained slowdown in inflation (the Fed’s clear goal) will require a sustained slowdown in economic activity — creating slack and driving down Unit Labor Cost growth. A key economic...

The Market in Pictures, August 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why:   Joseph: All of the 2020 job losses have now been recovered. Where that stacks up vs. other recessions    Source: Calculated Risk as of 08.05.2022...