The Market in Pictures, November 17

Dave: Tuesday’s reaction to the tame CPI report was the ripper of the year   Source: Strategas as of 11.14.2023   John Luke: as markets have more confidence that the Fed will move rates lower in the first half of 2024   Source: CME Fed Watch Tool as of...

Peak Inflation

U.S. Headline CPI was flat from June to July, slowing to 8.5% YoY. The core CPI (ex food & energy) rose +0.3%, keeping the YoY number at 5.9%. Headline CPI had the lowest monthly overall reading since May 2020 (0.0%). The unchanged reading was driven by an...

The “Idea in Real” Market

The market is learning that the economic cure of last year is now quickly becoming the cause for something else. The ramifications of unprecedented fiscal and monetary responses employed to combat a recession during the global pandemic should not come as a surprise to...