The Market in Pictures, May 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Tough to see how inflation can get down to the Fed’s stated 2% target   Source: Strategas...

May 2023 FOMC: (Still) Higher for Longer

The Fed delivered a 25bps hike as was broadly expected by markets. They made a modification in their statement omitting the wording regarding the necessity of further rate hikes. To us, this indicates a sort of “hawkish” pause in policy here at the 5-5.25%...

The Market in Pictures, April 14

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Inflation comps get tougher in the next few months vs. the heart of the 2022 Ukraine spike...

March 2023 CPI Update

Core CPI was in line with a softer shelter print (shelter/OER came in at 0.45%), but the headline was a little soft as energy declined, food was flat. The big question is how will the Fed view this number?   Source: Macro84. As of 4/12/23.   Core still at...