by John Luke Tyner | Sep 21, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
We thought the current backdrop provided an opportunity to dive into the basics of inflation. The below analysis will attempt to isolate different types of inflation, and distill our input on where we stand on each in the current cycle. This is a bit “economic” at its...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 15, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Global central bankers will gather later this month in Jackson Hole, WY for their annual meeting. We anticipate markets will seek to understand Powell’s desire to push back on market pricing that the Fed will cut its key rate to around 4% by January 2025 from its...
by David Wagner | Aug 8, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
I understand that a lot of y’all have upcoming client meetings, so I wanted to take more of a high-level approach to this Musing, instead of focusing on a single subject. Please find our quarterly presentation here. This presentation is meant to be a universe of...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 21, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Source: Strategas as of 06.20.2023 Many of the underlying sources of inflation have cooled over the past year. Supply chains have improved, interest rate sensitive sectors are seeing slower growth, but is it enough to get to the fed’s 2% target? The...