by John Luke Tyner | Aug 23, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
Rate Cut Expectations All eyes are on Jay Powell this week in Jackson Hole as he lays out the FOMC plan for the upcoming rate cut cycle. As of now, the market is pricing in ~1.25 cuts (roughly 31bps), basically a 25bps cut. Over the past weeks, we’ve bounced...
by John Luke Tyner | Jul 11, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
June CPI Reaction In response to the CPI print, markets are now pricing in an 8.5% chance of a July cut, a 94.5% of a September cut, and an 85.6% chance of at least 2 cuts by the end of the year. We think the market should not ignore the signal here. We’re...
by Aptus PM Team | May 24, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Beckham: It’s been a year since “NVDA Day” when stocks broke out of their SIVB-driven funk and turned their eyes...
by Aptus PM Team | May 17, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brett: DJIA hitting 40,000 will draw attention, but the dollar-weighting gives it some notable quirks relative...
by Aptus PM Team | Apr 19, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brad: Earnings among US stocks have continued to decline in recent months, though projections for next...
