by John Luke Tyner | Mar 13, 2023 | Blog, Bonds, Macro Updates
2 Years a Movin’ To give some perspective on the move in Fed Funds rate the last couple days, we have just witnessed one of the fastest/ largest slides since 1987. Source: Bloomberg. As of 3/13/23. The chart above shows Fed Funds curve last...
by John Luke Tyner | Jan 13, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
CPI was right on the screws with expectations at -0.1% on headline and +0.3% core. But the details do paint a picture of lingering pressures at the core. Core services rose by 0.5%, up from the 0.4% in November. Owners’ equivalent rent rose by 0.8%, the highest...
by John Luke Tyner | Dec 21, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Finally Flinched BOJ made a decision to double the trading band of the 10-year Japanese government bond. We believe the move is justified. It may mark the start of a gradual shift away from the strict bond yield controls emblematic of...
by John Luke Tyner | Nov 22, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Where Does the Terminal Rate Need to Go? Source: Bloomberg. As of 11/18/22. It’s pretty clear the pace of rate hikes will slow down soon, although we believe we are far from returning to the easy money policy experienced the last 10+ years. Given the...
by John Luke Tyner | Nov 10, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Year-over-year, CPI rose 7.7%, down from the 8.2% pace reported the month prior and the fourth consecutive month of cooling price pressures, albeit still near a four-decade high. It rose 0.4% in October, less than the 0.6% gain expected and following a similar...
