by John Luke Tyner | Mar 29, 2022 | Blog, Bonds, Macro Updates
The spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 2-year Treasury has compressed materially over the first three months of 2022 (~80bps of tightening), and inverted yesterday for a brief moment. The 10/2 spread is currently sitting at 5bps this morning vs. 80bps on...
by John Luke Tyner | Mar 24, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
* Bonds… A Rough Stretch: The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index, a benchmark for government and corporate debt, has fallen 11% from a high in early 2021. That’s the biggest decline from a peak in data stretching back to 1990, surpassing a 10.8% drawdown during the...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 18, 2022 | Blog, Bonds, Macro Updates
Current Rates & the Curve Macro influences like the Russia/ Ukraine news are likely temporary and the major influence over yields remains central bank tightening. That is the key to watch beyond the short term, and the bottom line is that the trend in...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 10, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
From a risk-premia perspective, equities and high yield both provide exposure to corporate earnings, albeit in a different manner. While equity is a purer exposure to corporate profits, high yield provides exposure to default risk. Source: Cornerstone Macro. As of...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 4, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
We’ve had questions on why Treasury Inflation Protected ETFs (TIPS) were down YTD while inflation isn’t really budging. We wanted to provide some color on the topic given the big moves in interest rates and the ongoing debate about inflation. Funds such as...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 2, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
* Current Rates & the Curve: The front end of the curve continues to feel pressure as economists are now projecting five to seven rate hikes in 2022, and the forwards market forecasts just under five rate hikes by year-end. However, longer-dated interest rates...
