Earnings Recap: Q4 2021

The culmination of the NFL season tends to coincide with another ending – Q4 earnings season, as 82% of the S&P 500 constituents have now reported. Fourth-quarter earnings have come in high versus historical norms, albeit slightly below previous quarters.  We knew...

Aptus Musings: Crimea River

Risk is the game of world conquest, and Vladimir Putin is currently Player 1, as Russia has been on an epic struggle for Ukraine domination ever since they voted overwhelmingly for independence in 1991 (from the Soviet Union). Yet, investors and NATO should have taken...

Bond Market Update Feb 17, 2022

Current Rates & the Curve   Macro influences like the Russia/ Ukraine news are likely temporary and the major influence over yields remains central bank tightening. That is the key to watch beyond the short term, and the bottom line is that the trend in...

Hot Inflation & Hawkish Fed

The inflation print was hotter than expected and surprised to the upside AGAIN. The data should reinforce the Fed’s need to begin raising rates next month to combat broad-based inflationary pressures. The continuation of strong inflation data (and job/wage data)...

Jobs Update Feb 22

NFP February 4th, 2022 We are always in tune with the job data that comes across our screens the first Friday of each month, but we don’t typically dedicate a post to respond. Following Friday’s January release (February 4th), given the surprise of the strength of the...