by John Luke Tyner | Jun 14, 2022 | Blog, Bonds, Macro Updates
Peak Inflation… Think Again! Source: Bianco Research. As of 6/10/22 CPI rose 1.0% MoM and 8.6% YoY (a new high) in May. The core CPI again surged 0.6% MoM and 6.0% YoY. Inflation looks to be broadening… The Bones of the Report May’s report...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 3, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates, Market Updates
We are beginning a new regime as the Fed moves to reduce the size of its balance sheet which has grown to nearly $9 Trillion. Since March 2020, the Fed has made more than $4T in bond purchases. Now, to fight inflation, the Fed will begin to let some of their bonds...
by David Wagner | May 31, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
Right now, the consumer’s money in their wallet doesn’t jiggle jiggle, it folds. Everyone reading this has probably heard us continually state that the stock market is different than the economy, and that over longer periods of time, the consumer’s propensity to spend...
by David Wagner | May 20, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates, Market Updates
First, I really wanted to touch base after yesterday’s price decline across indices – it was the worst day since June 2020. I know that I have been saying for quite some time that the market will continue to remain volatile until it perceives that we have seen some...
by David Wagner | May 20, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates, Market Updates
We continue to understand that emotions are heightened in this current market – the volatility is real. Thus, we know that a lot of y’all are focusing on how to help your clients Think Well and we love that. But, being a wildcard, I’m going to take this musing in a...
by John Luke Tyner | May 13, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
Strong demand for housing may give some flashbacks to 2007/2008, but this is not necessarily a bubble. We believe the work-from-home has shifted the demand fundamentals of real estate. New millennial home buyers are facing the highest interest rates in their adult...
