The Market in Pictures, January 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Beckham: Equity valuations have done their usual post-low lift from late 2022, it now seems to be on...

December CPI: Shelter Prices Still the Driver

The U.S. Headline CPI for December rose +0.3% m/m (3.4% y/y) and the core CPI (ex: food & energy) was +0.3% m/m (3.9% y/y).   Source: BLS/Stifel as of 01.11.2024   Inflation came in slightly above expectations in December. Core inflation is being aided by...

The Market in Pictures, January 6

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Joseph: In any given year, the leaders and laggards change but a diversified portfolio can get clients...

Assessing the Historic Bond Rally

Biggest Two-Month Rally in 40 Years Optimistic inflation data, and a Fed in the driver’s seat, have investors pricing in ~6 rate cuts in 2024.   Source: Bianco as of 12.31.2023   While 6 cuts sound optimistic, based on history it’s not outlandish....

Rearview to Windshield, January 2024

December ’23 Market Recap: Investors enjoyed broad-based relief in the fourth quarter. After rising sharply in Q2 and Q3, rates peaked in the fourth quarter fueled by Powell’s pivot at the December FOMC meeting. Similarly, oil prices peaked in late September and...