by Aptus PM Team | Feb 17, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: It’s been awhile since 5% rates were an option for investors, things looked different back...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 16, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The blue line below is what the Fed is communicating per their DOT plot, on the terminal rate going to a range of 5.00% to 5.25%. The orange line is yesterday’s Fed Funds curve (following CPI). The market expectations for the Fed Funds rate is finally rising to the...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 14, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Another Stubborn CPI Report Likely Pressures Fed to Maintain Hikes The BLS’s latest inflation figures published this morning showed consumer prices rose 6.4% Y/Y in January, slightly higher than consensus. From a high-level view it was a fairly status quo...
by David Wagner | Feb 14, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
Q4 ’22 Earnings Season Given current levels of Nominal GDP (+7.3% YoY) & Real GDP (+2.1% YoY), it appears that a recession has been delayed, but the market has begun to witness an EPS downturn. Almost 85% of the S&P 500 constituents have reported...
by Aptus PM Team | Feb 10, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: Fed Funds expectations are still bouncing around on Fed talk / speculation Source:...
by Aptus PM Team | Feb 10, 2023 | Blog, Team
You might have seen our Team Page with our full team lineup, showing us in the office setting, with the usual bios about backgrounds and roles. We wanted to show you who we are outside of the office and share a little about the personalities that make up our team. We...