Aptus Musing: Can That CPI Reaction Stick?

I’ve been asked what we thought about the magnitude and sustainability of last week’s market reaction to Thursday’s CPI print. We love putting things into context and last week’s rally is very difficult to do so. Thursday’s CPI print spurred one of the biggest 1-day...

The Market in Pictures, November 11

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   JL: stock prices have generally tracked earnings revisions this year, with a clear bias towards...

A Good Day for The Fed

Year-over-year, CPI rose 7.7%, down from the 8.2% pace reported the month prior and the fourth consecutive month of cooling price pressures, albeit still near a four-decade high. It rose 0.4% in October, less than the 0.6% gain expected and following a similar...

What Could Stop the Fed?

Newton’s First Law of Motion states that an object in motion tends to stay in motion unless an external force acts upon it. The Fed is in motion (hiking rates/QT) and until the external force (lower inflation) acts upon it, expect them to stay in motion (higher...

The Market in Pictures, October 14

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Looking out at some possible ranges for CPI over the next 3-6 months   Data as of 10.12.2022  ...