The Market in Pictures, August 4

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Brad: If you don’t recall this kind of volatility in the rate market, well…it’s been awhile  ...

Fitch Downgrades US Credit Rating

We’ve all seen the news that Fitch downgraded the US Government’s credit rating from AAA to AA+. Fitch’s move follows a similar cut by S&P about 12 years ago.    Source: Bloomberg as of 08.01.2023   Moody’s continues to rate the US AAA (wonder where the...

Rearview to Windshield, August 2023

July ‘23 Market Recap: The S&P 500 gained 3.2% in July on a total return basis, the fifth month of gains and the ninth straight positive July. Less favorable seasonality in late summer has investors cautious, but lately, it appears that the path of least...

Yields Rising, and a Curveball!

Rise in Interest Income is Helping Buoy the Consumer   The increase in interest rates over the last 15-18 months has made it is more expensive to borrow money but on the flip side, they have higher yielding options to put cash to work.   Source: WSJ as of...

The Market in Pictures, July 28

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: VIX has fallen into lower levels indicating complacency, but that hasn’t historically led to...

July 2023 FOMC: Another 25bps

The Fed raised rates for the 11th time in 16 months, bumping rates +25bp to 5.25%-5.5% at today’s FOMC meeting. This matched the market consensus and puts short-term rates at a 22-year high (last seen January 2001).  The Fed kept the statement the same in regard to...