March CPI: Inflation Still Sticky

Inflation Stabilizing Above 3%   The U.S. CPI rose +0.4% m/m (3.2% y/y) & core (ex-food & energy) was +0.4% m/m (3.8% y/y) in February. The so-called “supercore” gauge slowed to 0.47% on the month, down from a red-hot 0.85% in January. The data is...

The Market in Pictures, March 8

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Early-year strength in stocks has tended to lead to healthy performance   Source: Strategas as...

Rearview to Windshield, March 2024

February ‘24 Market Recap: Helped by better-than-expected earnings, the S&P 500 (+5.3% total return) clocked a fresh high in Feb. But just 26% of stocks outperformed the index, similar to recent months, and 45% of the index’s gain came from four stocks:...

The Market in Pictures, March 1

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: On the way to 16 of 18 weeks up for the S&P 500, it seems   Source: Daily Chartbook...

Competing Forces in the Bond Market

Productivity is the Way Out Productivity plays a crucial role in influencing both inflation and economic growth. A key to stopping a second wave of inflation is likely productivity (output per hour) picking up. Instead of having too much money chasing too few goods we...

The Market in Pictures, February 23

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Rate expectations have changed dramatically in a few short weeks   Data as of 02.23.2024...