Thoughts on the Curve. And Municipals.

Curves are Inverted, Term Premiums LOW   The market continues to price in a return to the 2010 norms of subdued inflation pressure, with term premia below zero across the curve.   Source: TS Lombard. As of 04.12.2023   While slower nominal growth could put a...

Is Gold Worth Owning?

The recent performance of gold has caught investor attention. Following the banking sector stress, and a near-record drop in the US 2-year Treasury yield, markets have had a significant change in risk appetite. Markets have repriced from 100bps of further tightening...

The Market in Pictures, April 21

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Looks like markets have restored expectations of 25 bps hike after wavering last month  ...

Aptus Musings: Q1 2023 Earnings Preview

On the radio last week, I heard a classic John Prine song that had the following (slightly tweaked) lyric: “a clown puts his makeup on upside down, so even when he smiles, he wears a frown”. It’s actually a pretty funny song if you listen to the lyrics. I think it...

Paying Taxes Isn’t Always Bad

As we put a wrap on another tax season, can we reflect? Savings and retirement Income planning, which are really at the core of every financial plan, tend to always have taxation as the common consideration.  We naturally want to pay the minimal amount of taxes today....

The Market in Pictures, April 14

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Inflation comps get tougher in the next few months vs. the heart of the 2022 Ukraine spike...