The Market in Pictures, January 13

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Have we entered a new regime of how stocks and bonds interact?   Source: Strategas as of...

December CPI In-Line

CPI was right on the screws with expectations at -0.1% on headline and +0.3% core. But the details do paint a picture of lingering pressures at the core. Core services rose by 0.5%, up from the 0.4% in November. Owners’ equivalent rent rose by 0.8%, the highest...

The Market in Pictures, January 6

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Not many places to hide in 2022   Source: JP Morgan as of 12.31.22     Dave: and the only...

No Sign of a Pause Yet

Real Bad, Nominal Worse   While the Fed might have been slow off the mark in fighting inflation in 2021, they marched double-time last year starting in March, taking the benchmark Fed Funds rate from about roughly 0% to 4.5%. This brought extreme pain to the...

Rearview to Windshield, January 2023

December 2022 Market Recap: There was no “Santa Claus” rally in December – more of a “Santa Snooze” – as the market traded effectively sideways the last 2 weeks to finish the year at ~3840 on the S&P 500, near the midpoint of the ~3500-4200 range we have...