The Market in Pictures, November 25

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: As is usually the case, this equity rally has attracted inflows   Source: Strategas as of...

A Rant on the Yield Curve Inversion

Where Does the Terminal Rate Need to Go?    Source: Bloomberg. As of 11/18/22.    It’s pretty clear the pace of rate hikes will slow down soon, although we believe we are far from returning to the easy money policy experienced the last 10+ years. Given the...

The Market in Pictures, November 18

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   JL: Year-over-year food costs are set to deflate for the first time since pre-COVID   Source: Bianco...

Aptus Musing: Season Recap

The Cincinnati Bengals had a BYE this week, so I thought that I would do some reflecting not only on their first ten games, but over my last two musings – earnings and the mid-term elections. For the former, unlike the Bengals expectations at the beginning of the...

Aptus Musing: Can That CPI Reaction Stick?

I’ve been asked what we thought about the magnitude and sustainability of last week’s market reaction to Thursday’s CPI print. We love putting things into context and last week’s rally is very difficult to do so. Thursday’s CPI print spurred one of the biggest 1-day...