by John Luke Tyner | Feb 2, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
* Current Rates & the Curve: The front end of the curve continues to feel pressure as economists are now projecting five to seven rate hikes in 2022, and the forwards market forecasts just under five rate hikes by year-end. However, longer-dated interest rates...
by David Wagner | Jan 28, 2022 | Blog, Market Reviews
The recent market volatility has been keeping us busy, or maybe the fact that I’m still celebrating a Cincinnati Bengals playoff victory against the first-seeded Tennessee Titans last week – WHY NOT US? Speaking of Value, at the beginning of the year, the...
by John Luke Tyner | Jan 27, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
Source: BofA, Data as of 1/27/01 As expected, the Fed kept rates in the 0.00-0.25% range during the January meeting. Chairman Powell pointed to a high likelihood of a rate hike being “relatively soon” based on the continuation of the strong labor market (unemployment...
by David Wagner | Jan 21, 2022 | Blog, Market Reviews
Last week, we covered the age old question of “Domestic vs. International”. Let’s make this a bit more intimate with a more recently debated topic, given the rally in cyclicals –Small v. Large. Many of y’all have heard my spiel on this numerous times –get ready for it...
by John Luke Tyner | Jan 20, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
Source: Bloomberg LP. As of 1/19/22. Markets have started off on a rough note to begin 2022. The fear of a reduction in market accommodation as the Fed pulls support and (likely) hikes rates has spooked markets. In response to rising rates, persistent...
by John Luke Tyner | Jan 14, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
It’s been a big week for Chairman Powell as the Senate held his reconfirmation hearing on Tuesday and this morning (Wednesday) brought the release of the final inflation data for 2021. Headline CPI came in at 7%, a 39 year high. The back half of 2021 will be...